Principles of AI · Unit 1: Inside the Machine · Activity 1.2.2

Deep Dive: Stump the Bot

🔬 Deep Dive
This is your textbook for this topic. Take your time. Read it more than once.
Principles of AI · 1.2.2Concept⚠ Watch Out

Sounding Right vs. Being Right

hallucination = a confident output that isn't supported by the facts

Chatbots can write smooth, organized answers that are wrong. When an AI presents something false as fact, including made-up details, quotes, or sources, people call it a hallucination. It is one of the most important limits to understand, because a wrong answer and a right answer can read exactly the same.

Try it

Same confident tone · which replies are correct?

Each reply is written the way a chatbot might state it. Decide, then see.

Bot 1: "Venus is the hottest planet in our solar system, hotter even than Mercury, because of its thick carbon dioxide atmosphere."

Bot 2: "The Great Wall of China is the only human-made structure you can see from the Moon with the naked eye."

Bot 3: "Lightning never strikes the same place twice, which is why tall buildings are safe."

Bot 4: "A day on Venus is longer than a year on Venus: it takes about 243 Earth days to spin once, but only about 225 to orbit the Sun."

Bot 5: "The Eiffel Tower was completed in 1889."

Bot 6: "According to Dr. Helen Marlowe's 2019 study in the Journal of Applied Birds, 83% of crows can recognize individual human faces."

Why does this happen?

Remember the language-model dice from 1.1.1. A language model builds a reply by choosing likely next words. Training taught it what plausible text looks like, and plausible is not the same as true. By default it isn't looking a fact up in a table. It is producing words that fit.

  • Fluent is not accurate. Smooth, sure-sounding writing is exactly what these systems are built to produce. It is not a sign the content is correct.
  • Bad training data can cause errors, but it isn't the only cause. A model can produce a false statement even when what it learned from was accurate.
  • Gaps get filled. If it has little to go on, such as a rare fact or a source it never saw, it can still produce a confident-looking answer.
  • Probabilistic means variable. As you saw in 1.2.1, the same question can get different answers on different tries.
  • Tools that search the web can cite sources, which helps, but the summary can still misstate what the source says. Check the source.
🔑The reply doesn't carry a warning label. Your job is to bring one: treat a chatbot's answer as a claim to check, not a fact to copy.
Principles of AI · 1.2.2Skill

How to Stump a Bot

To catch a mistake you have to know the right answer, or know how to find it fast. That's why you test a chatbot on a topic you know well: a game, a sport, your instrument, your town, a school subject, a hobby. You are the expert in the room.

Ask different kinds of questions

Five question types to mix in
TypeWhat it looks likeWhy it's useful
Specific factA name, place, rule or detail from your topicAsk about something you know cold
Number or dateA score, year, count or measurementEasy for you to check against a reliable reference
Source or quote"Who said this?" or "give me a source for that"Bots can invent sources that look real
False premiseA question that assumes something untrueDoes it go along or push back?
Obscure but realA true detail few people write aboutLess common facts are more likely to be guessed

Then ask again in different words. You did this in 1.1.1 and 1.1.4: reword a prompt and compare. If two versions of the same question get different answers, at least one is wrong.

Name the mistake

Five kinds of chatbot error
  • Wrong fact. States something untrue as if it were true
  • Invented source or quote. Names an article, study or quote that doesn't exist
  • False premise accepted. Goes along with a question built on something untrue
  • Out of date. Gives an answer that was true once, or not about now
  • Inconsistent. Gives a different answer when you ask again in different words

Log it and count it

For every question, write down the tool you used and the date, your exact question, the bot's answer, how sure it sounded, how you checked, and whether it was right. Then count. Counting turns "it got some wrong" into something you can compare.

Practice log · click a result to flip it, and watch the tally
#Question typeBot soundedResult
1Specific factcompletely sure
2Specific factcompletely sure
3Number or datecompletely sure
4Number or datecompletely sure
5Source or quotecompletely sure
6Source or quotehedged
7False premisecompletely sure
8False premisecompletely sure
9Obscure but realcompletely sure
10Obscure but realhedged
Wrong: 6 of 10 → error rate 60%
Wrong answers that sounded completely sure: 4 of 6
Specific fact: 1/2Number or date: 1/2Source or quote: 2/2False premise: 1/2Obscure but real: 1/2
⚠️Privacy: don't type personal information into a chatbot, about you or anyone else. Pick a topic where you don't need to.
Principles of AI · 1.2.2Skill⚠ Watch Out

Checking What It Said

What counts as a real check

A check has to come from somewhere independent of the answer. Some things feel like checks but aren't.

  • Real checks: a reliable reference (an official site, a textbook, an encyclopedia), the original source of a quote, a current news source for recent events, or someone who really knows.
  • Not checks: asking the same bot "Are you sure?" (it can change its answer without any new evidence), noticing that it sounded confident, or asking it to promise it's right.
  • Weak check: asking a second chatbot. Two chatbots can make the same mistake, so agreement is not proof.

For a source or quote, go find it yourself. Does the article, author, and journal exist? Does it say what the bot says it says? If you can't find it, treat it as invented. Do the same for a summary at the top of search results: it is also written by AI and also needs checking.

What your own test can and can't tell you

Ten questions is a small test. Suppose a chatbot is really wrong on 20% of questions like yours. The chance that ten of your questions come up completely clean is still about 11%. Use the sliders to see how test size changes that.

If you saw zero mistakes, was the bot reliable?

Chance you would see no mistakes at all: 11%

Questions5102050
at 20% wrong33%11%1%0%

The math: the chance every question is answered correctly is (1 − error rate) multiplied by itself n times. It assumes each question is independent. A short test can look clean even when the bot makes mistakes fairly often.

  • Your results describe one tool, one day, one topic. Tools change and replies vary.
  • Don't write "this chatbot is reliable" or "this chatbot is bad" from a small sample. Write what you actually saw: "on {topic}, in {n} questions, it was wrong {k} times, most often on {type}."
  • Report the mistakes honestly, including the ones you aren't sure about.
💡None of this means chatbots are useless. They're good at drafting, explaining, and brainstorming. It means the checking step is yours, and it grows with the cost of being wrong. A wrong guess about a video game is harmless; a wrong medicine dose or legal deadline is not.
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